What will be the geopolitical approach of the Draghi government
And
what will be the relations with the United States and Germany ? last attempt to keep Italy hooked to the European game “. The comment by Lucio Caracciolo, director of the Italian geopolitical magazine Limes, is clear. “If things go wrong we will face expulsion from the European game. Draghi is the best known and most appreciated public man in Italy and in the world but he is in charge of managing a dramatic phase of our country in a context of the death of politics ”. NATURE AND OBJECTIVES OF THE DRAGHI GOVERNMENT
Saturday 13 February Mario Draghi and the ministers were sworn in at the Quirinale. The executive includes technicians, such as the Minister of Economy Daniele Franco, and politicians, such as the Minister of Health Roberto Speranza. “There are no technical governments, even those formed by technicians become politicians – says Caracciolo -. To this we add that Draghi is culturally a politician and he also demonstrated it in the formation of this government ”. According to the editor of the geopolitical magazine Limes, the future of the Italian parties also depends on the success of the Draghi executive. “One of the outcomes of this government is to understand if the nationalization of the League carried out by Salviniin recent years it will have an outlet in the European context or if the failure of the Draghi government will lead the League , which is the largest Italian party, to separatist or similar positions. It is no coincidence that the ministers of these governments are almost all from the north ”. HOW THE DRAGHI GOVERNMENT WILL MOVE
President Mattarella in choosing Draghi entrusted himself to a man who is entrusted with the “rescue” of Italy. “Draghi is a person of the highest level but under Draghi there is a state that does not work – according to Caracciolo– that has been in an organic crisis for at least 30 years, there are no real political parties and there is an economic and health condition that is destined to worsen, at least in its social component, when the redundancy block ends. There will be a further worsening when the psychological and cultural consequences of this epidemic phase become clear, when it becomes clear that not everything will be resolved with the vaccine but we will have to change our habits “. So what should the Prime Minister
do If Draghi fails to bring the Recovery Fund home, our country will enter an agonic phase “. THE ECOLOGICAL TRANSITION AS A GEOPOLYTICAL MOVE
According to analyst Dario Fabbri, a member of the scientific committee of Limes and an expert on the States, the ministry of ecological transition is a geopolitical move that comes directly from Berlin. “The German impression is that the US wants to use the Green Revolution to hit German manufacturing, and therefore ours too – says Fabbri -. Germany has realized this and wants to do it before Washington, it does not want to submit to the rules of the game . This is why he asks Italy to put a part of the funds guaranteed thanks to the German triple A on the ecological transition ”. The appointments of ministers, many from northern Italy, mark a northern pull of the Draghi government. “ Northern Italy is what Germany wants to save, the section of our peninsula that must remain linked to the German value chain – adds Fabbri -. France and Germany hope that Italy remains anchored to the eurozone and that it will be able to use the billions that will arrive in our country ”. RELATIONS BETWEEN DRAGHI AND MERKEL
There is no doubt that the Draghi Government is liked in Europe. “The link with Merkelit has refined over the years of ECB presidency because Merkel served as a bank for Draghi to protect the euro and manage quantitative easing and deny the Bundesbank’s monetary economic theory contrary to the euro – adds Caracciolo who insists on the role of politics – . The real problem is that politics no longer exists here. I don’t want to be in his place. In this phase, the relationship with Germany and France helps us. But saving Italy is an undertaking that will make your wrists tremble “. THE ROLE OF GERMANY AND RECOVERY FUND FOR ITALY
“We are a country with limited sovereignty”. Fabbri analyst is always clear and sharp when he talks about the role of our country on the global chessboard. “When the American administration changes, a country like ours clearly suffers – adds the US expert in Limes magazine -. The American apparatuses accused Conte of having been too casual towards the past Trump administration “. With Draghi, things should change because our Prime Minister is not unknown to the circles of the American apparatus. “Draghi is not only an altantist but he is very close to a substantial part of the American apparatuses”, underlines Fabbri. Draghi, therefore, according to Limes’ analyst, would be a guarantee for the US to advance Germany which, with the Recovery Fund, makes a decisive step forward to save Italy and the eurozone. The risk is that once this phase has been overcome, he may want to conquer other spheres of influence, here is Draghi assuring the US that that advance will be slowed down and that Italy will keep its axis firmly with the US. THE RELATIONS OF ITALY OF DRAGHI WITH GERMANY AND USA The Draghi
governmentit will not be a government of purpose but undoubtedly the first of the objectives will be the relaunch of the economy. “This government must relaunch the economy, or we will resume growth or our European and American partners will consider us as an entity to start from regardless – Caracciolo points out -. Not forgetting that we now also have a very hot southern border with Turkey and Russia“. Our fate is decided now. “Either we remain part of the great European and American game – concludes Caracciolo – or we risk returning to a condition not unlike that experienced immediately after the Second World War. If Italy collapsed it would break both the power system of Europe and the US. If we fail we will become the object of the different cultures that revolve around us. We play everything between now and the end of the year ”.
