A few hours after election day , with 90 million Americans who have already voted, the challenge between incumbent President Donald Trump and Democratic challenger Joe Biden is increasingly close.
Donald Trump has a seven-point lead over Joe Biden in Iowa. According to a poll by The Moines Register, the president has 48% of the preferences against 41% of the former president. In September, the two candidates were head to head.
Joe Biden is ahead of Donald Trump in four key White House election states: Arizona (+6), Florida (+3), Pennsylvania (+6) and Wisconsin (+11), according to a New York Times poll / Siena College two days before the elections. All four states were won by Trump in 2016 against Hillary Clinton. According to a Fox News poll, Joe Biden would have an eight-point lead with 52% of the preferences against 44% of The Donald’s. If confirmed, the Democratic candidate would have lost 2 points in the past three weeks.
The one that is starting to creep in among the experts and a possible comeback of Trump, just as happened in 2016. Donald Trump has strung together three rallies in a few hours in Pennsylvania, a state that many give for lost given that Biden is ahead of 3 / 5 points. Similarly, Joe Biden went to Texas where he is considered underdog but seems to be growing in appreciation. According to data from RealClearPolitics , Trump’s lead is 2.3 percent, while FiveThirtyEight is 1.3 percent.
Another key state is Florida, with its 29 major voters. If the current polls are confirmed, it will come to a head-to-head: even if Joe Biden is 2 points ahead, the large presence of the Hispanic community would seem to be closer to the current Republican president. Situation, in theory, clearer in Wisconsin, where 10 big voters are at stake: here the Democrats are counting on an advantage ranging from 6 to 8.6 points. Similar story in Michigan (16 ‘big voters’), where Biden is more than 8 points ahead. According to analysts, if Biden were to take over these two Midwestern and Florida, he would have victory in hand. But if Trump, in addition to keeping Texas, manages to confirm himself in Pennsylvania, with his 20 big voters, the situation would be reversed.
Eyes on this final round, therefore, as the result will have important consequences on the geopolitical balance both in the Mediterranean and with the Middle East and Southeast Asia. The situation, already heavily conditioned by the covid, leaves profound uncertainty in a general macroeconomic vision in great crisis and which needs to be established to lay strong foundations for recovery.
This is not the only case of China and 5G technology but also the nature of Europe’s trade agreements between the US and Asia. The key word remains “caution” and the approach must necessarily be wise as it is not geopolitical interests at stake, but also economic ones in which citizens and businesses will be at the center of the vicissitudes that we will experience following the vote.
Like ANGI(National Association of Young Innovators), promoted and sponsored by the major Italian and European institutions and a reference point for innovation and the startup ecosystem in Italy, thanks to the large national and international institutional network, we hope for an opening that can bring new collaborations on the open innovation front both with large American and Asian companies for a process of technological and digital transformation that will allow Italy to regain its centrality in the Mediterranean area also in terms of the digital economy in the name of young people and of sustainability.
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