The acting president of the Government has not gone well with the move. Quite the contrary. Neither the president of the CIS, Jose Felix Tezanos, nor Ivan Redondo, his court advisor, have correctly interpreted what is happening in Spain. Pedro Sanchez has not been able to break the parliamentary blockade that has led him to the electoral repetition this November 10. In the experiment, 800,000 votes and three seats have been left. Contrary to what happened with Rajoy, who also had to repeat the elections, the polls have interpreted that he is one of the causes of the blockade. The PP won 14, the PSOE lost three.
If he manages to be inaugurated president, it will be through a more complicated agreement. The sum of the PSOE and all the leftist parties plus the PNV only reaches 168 seats, seven away from the absolute majority. The clear winner of this electoral repetition is Vox. Santiago Abascal’s party strikes down Ciudadanos, which is practically about to go down in history, like UPyD. Despite the fact that Pablo Casado’s PP significantly improves the result, the sum of the three center and right-wing parties falls far short of his aspiration. The left block continues to add more. Participation has touched 70%, 3.5 points less than on April 28.
With 168 seats, in the event that the PNV and Teruel Exists voted for him, which manages to enter Congress, Sanchez would need about ten abstentions. You can look for them in ERC, but it should not be ruled out that Ciudadanos ended up letting him pass to free him from the support of the independentistas. The popular leader, Pablo Casado, has rejected any support for the socialist, has declared himself incompatible, while Rivera has limited himself to congratulating Sanchez and has left it open what he will do.
The PSOE has lost three deputies, it is left with 120 seats, it is still the first force but it comes out weakened. With that representation, he can only hope to put together a Frankenstein – a mixture of leftist parties – similar to the one that supported him in the motion of censure that won Mariano Rajoy. But, without a doubt, the loser of the night is Albert Rivera and Ciudadanos, who went from 57 to 10 deputies. He was able to form a government with Sanchez in the summer, but he didn’t want to and the polls have punished him mercilessly. Rivera did not even want to meet with Sanchez because, according to his dream, he was the leader of the Spanish right. Only when there were hours left for the automatic call for elections, the orange leader had the idea of ​​registering a proposal that did not work even as a trompe l’oeil.
Rivera has left 2.5 million votes from one election to another. Ciudadanos has convened an extraordinary congress, but its leader has not announced, for the time being, that he is leaving. The electorate has punished those who could form a government and did not: PSOE, United We Can and, above all, Citizens. It is a master lesson for the future. In general terms, this repetition has provoked an enormous rearrangement in the Spanish right. Vox, the most extreme of the three parties, becomes the third force in the country. In some communities, such as Andalucia, the result almost stepped on the PP. With a more radical discourse than Ciudadanos on Catalonia and immigration, the young party of Santiago Abascal has gone from 24 to 52 seats. Before the elections of April 28, 2019, it was a party without representation. They have supported it 3,
Pablo Casado is definitively consolidated as the leader of the opposition and of the PP. In his first elections he only obtained 66 seats and if he resisted it was because in the regional and municipal elections he was able to close government pacts where there was an opportunity. I didn’t miss any. Now, the deputy from Palencia has 88 seats, wins half a million votes and can face a legislature with aspirations of becoming the next president of the Government. Now then, he will have to watch the right flank of the electorate.
Pablo Iglesias’s party, United We Can, has also received a lot of support in these months. The appearance of Inigo Errejon takes its toll on him, although his previous number two fails to capitalize on his media success. United We Can achieve 35 seats, while Errejon adds three, of which one comes from the Valencians of Compromis. The BNG returns to Congress with a deputy, after also breaking with Iglesias.
In the independence bloc there have been some changes, but due to the appearance of the CUPs. This radical and anti-system formation, Catalan and pro-independence, obtains two seats. ERC, the party of Oriol Junquera, goes from 15 to 13 seats, it continues to be the leader in that sector, followed by JxCat, the party of Carles Puigdemont, which gets one more and is placed in eight seats. The independentistas are not able to capitalize on the response of the sentence to the Supreme Court.
Bildu, political heir to the old Batasuna, keeps five seats. The PNV rises one and reaches seven, and it is still the first game in the Basque Country. The Cantabrian regionalist group continues with one seat and Coalition Canaria, with two.
