The PSOE will revalidate in the European elections of May 26 the leadership obtained in the general elections of April 28 . A Metroscopia poll on the elections to the European Parliament indicates that the PSOE would obtain 18 MEPs out of the 54 that are elected in Spain. It is a support of 30.8%, two points more than in the general ones. The second party would be the PP, with 11 seats , which fully benefits from the fall of Vox. The popular ones obtain a support of 19.6% compared to 16.7% last April.
Ciudadanos remains at 15.6% of the estimated vote, with nine seats . It is a better result than that of the European past, but Albert Rivera’s party does not seem to benefit from the fall of Vox.United We Can get eight seats , 14.4%. And Vox does not reach 10% on April 28 and remains at 7.7%, with four seats.
The Catalan independence parties get representation in the European chamber. Now Republicas, which is the ERC brand and leads Oriol Junqueras as the head of the list, would win two MEPs, 3.8% of the votes, while the list led by Carles Puigdemont, Lliures per Europea, reaches 3.3 % and get two other deputies. In this way, Carles Puigdemont, who escaped in Waterloo, would get a seat, although he would have to come to Spain to get the minutes .
The Metroscopia survey was carried out from May 9 to 14 with a total of 1,700 interviews. The degree of reliability in the case of the European is greater when it comes to distributing seats, since Spain is the only constituency.
Regardless of the importance of the European future, these elections also serve to measure the temperature of the internal politics of the countries. In that sense, the result provided by Metroscopia supports the election of April 28, in the sense that the PSOE is the majority and a hypothetical alliance of the center and the right does not add up to what Socialists and United We Can.
Borrell is the only one who approves
Among the causes that benefit the PSOE on this occasion, we must highlight the candidacy of Josep Borrell, Minister of Foreign Affairs and a socialist with a long career in Spanish politics. Borrell is the only one of the great candidates that he approves of in the general assessment . 56% of those consulted approve of it. Metroscopia also points out the effect that the public acknowledgment that has been made to Alfredo Perez Rubalcaba due to his unexpected death may have had on the electorate.
The growth of the PP, led by Dolors Monserrat, is related to the almost three points that Vox lost compared to the general elections. However, the popular ones leave five seats since the European elections of 2014. Ciudadanos would improve, notably, its previous result, since it would go from two MEPs to nine. As is often the case with this formation, it is the one with the highest proportion of potential undecided voters.
In the European Parliament, Spain has 54 seats, which would have been 59 if the United Kingdom had completed its exit from the European Union. The expected participation on this occasion is 66%, notably higher than in 2014, which was 45%. On this occasion, the European ones coincide with the municipal ones.
Although Carles Puigdemont and Oriol Junqueras are the best-known heads of the list, Borrell is the most valued. However, the degree of knowledge of him is quite high, 86%. Dolors Monserrat is known by 67% of those surveyed, and Luis Garicano, from Ciudadanos, by 32%.
The candidates of Unidas Podemos, Maria Eugenia Rodriguez Palop, and that of Vox, Jorge Buxade, are very little known, with 12% and 6%, respectively.